Showing posts with label Business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Business. Show all posts

Friday, December 2, 2011

Business and the social contract

A part of the thinking behind the conceptualization of Regulatory agencies as information repositories is, I think, what you're talking about here.

"Ergo, our valiant words are burped out of the orifice of the money drunk. We have and continue to lose credibility in the global expanse. I agree that transnationals are likely the answer and do not support that we dominate. I am saying we a no example of any sense of the "common good" or wishing to see humanity survive. "

In my terms, you're saying the transnationals have the power, but don't consider themselves parties to the social contract. If so, I agree.

Business has taken the political position of being antithetical to government. It's a straw man. Business cannot exist without effective government. Business requires both the law and enforcement of the law or there are no property rights (other than that provided by thugs and warlords.)
All incorporated organizations must be licensed and registered by a government, or they effectively are those thugs and warlords.

Business has chosen the political position as antithetical to government in order to oppose taxes, regulation, and unions. Those roles are better understood in terms of the monopoly stage of capitalism, where business sought market share.

The present stage of capitalism can better be called global capitalism, where business seeks to control governments across national borders. In time, all levels of business will be forced -- as we're already seeing -- to respond to the goals of globalization and global capitalism.

Business will be networked as defined in management science. Much of transnational business already is. (see the excerpt above) The networking aspect is an opportunity for the concepts of networked innovation to be applied. The key goal for government and regulators is to develop a network to include all stakeholders and avoid becoming increasingly insignificant. 
That goal will only increase in importance as capitalism moves into the state capitalism stage; where business and government effectively form controlled economies.

These changes and goals will draw business ever deeper into the social contract.

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

First Flit

Having lived through the 70s in America, I know the signs of inflation.
When I first wandered into Australia about 8 years ago, coffeehouse conversation often turned to how the country had changed. I was the newcomer, and from America. It seemed like everyone wanted to be the first to tell me how Australia was becoming like America.NEW YORK - JANUARY 19:  Hugh Jackman (L) and O...Image by Getty Images via Day
I would look closely, and listen, to try to tell if the person thought that was a good thing or a bad thing.
In time, I came to realize that Australians had an easy way to assign blame for anything that went wrong: they just blamed America and Americans. It saved a lot of thinking and worrying about the things they could change.
America was to blame, so .. Why worry? Be Happy.

The changes aussies blamed on America were kind of obvious to me:
  • high and rising prices;
  • rabid consumer credit;
  • smaller portions and lower quality goods were more expensive;
  • service cutbacks because of personnel reductions;
  • and fees on everything.
They were the consumer signals of inflation and hyperinflation. I recognized them in an instant.
When I said this stuff to aussies, the response was universal. A grim shrug, then some sort of comment blaming America.
A lot of times the comment wasn't even about prices or the economy. Aussies simply took my conversational comments as an attack on Australia, and turned to an attack on America.
The thinking seemed to be there was no sense in being negative (about Australia), there was always the US to blame.

When it came time to decide to stay, I got interested in the Australian economy.
It didn't take a whole long time to figure out where the inflation was coming from. The new Liberal administration had been elected because of the aging aussie homily: "Liberals create surpluses and Labour spends the country into poverty." The new Liberal administration was fueling inflation to pay off the national debts.
Mr Howard simply started paying something to everyone. Within a year, the direct payments into the economy tripled as a portion of the GNP - from 1% to over 3%. You had to make 6 figures in Australia not to be eligible for some sort of payout.
In America, that'd be catastrophic. But Australia is a small country with a small economy. In perspective, the recent Wall Street bailout is larger than the total GNP of Australia by $100billion USD.
Converted at the current exchange rate, that's be about $163billion AUD.
And that's after all the bloating inflation in Australia for 8 years or so.

The same consumer inflation signals continued for 8 years, only getting worse and worse. The inflation rate was underreported to the population. It was supposedly 4%. The real figure was closer to 10 or 12%.
Denial is not something unique to Australia. Just look at the idiocy of the sub prime mortgages in the US.
Consumers only really became concerned, as in the US in the 70s, when the cost of petrol went through the roof. The speculators that are blamed were only reacting to real market forces. There was room for the increase and they saw it.

I got the stories. A house had cost only $60,000 in the neighborhood only two years ago. Now it was $85,000. And that was nothing compared to prices across the whole metro area, where the average house was (then) $220,000. It was much worse in Sydney.
My comments were: This is still a suburb. It's a long ways into the city. But it looks like that's changing with the plans for new freeway. This would be a good time to buy that $85,000 house. -- It's obviously going to go up a lot.
The responses from the local Australians registered their incredulity: "These houses were old. They can't get much more expensive. It'd be better to tear them down and build new houses. Houses out here will never be over $100,000."
Within 4 years, just a year or so after I heard that comment last, the same house sold for $180,000. Two years later, it was on the market for $240,000.

The market value of that old, unrenovated 1970s military housing house had tripled in 6 years. And the freeway went into service just after it was sold.

Now Rudd government has to support the inflation. So they have gone even farther than the Howard government ever dared. All bank deposits are guaranteed. More than that, all loans between banks are guaranteed. And there will be a $10.4billion payout to spark Christmas spending on December 8th.
Weirder than fiction, the Assistant Prime Minister thinks this will not be inflationary.
And just two months ago, the RBA raised interest rates to combat inflation. This month, the RBA dropped interest rates from 7.0% to 6.0%, and more cuts are expected.
Nothing inflationary in all that. Nahhhhh....

Oh, the average house in the metro area is now $385,000. In Sydney, it's over $400,000.
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Sunday, October 12, 2008

Australia goes bigtime: Not $700billion, but $1.4trillion

Westpac DemonstatorsImage by David de Groot via Flickr

Guarantee of wholesale funding

In order to support confidence in funding markets and continued lending by Authorised Deposit-Taking Institutions (ADIs) to Australian corporations, businesses and households, the Government will offer a guarantee on debt securities issued by Australian owned banks, locally incorporated subsidiaries of foreign banks, credit unions and building societies. (list of banks and corporations protected)

The government will, of course, assess a fee for this service.

The reason Australia's banks are "amongst the world's best" is largely because of the astounding fees banks charge.

Bank fees

The first thing a local small businessman said, "As you would." - which translates in Australian in deep sarcasm something like: "And you're surprised you're getting screwed again? Why?"
He went on to tell me he was once with Bank of Melbourne. BoM had no fees. They were bought out by WestPac (about 7 years ago.)
Now, WestPac and all the other large banks charge fees for everything:

  • Customers pay a fee to have an account with the bank.
  • Get a statement. Pay a fee.
    The law says the banks have to issue statements. The law doesn't say they can't charge for it...
  • Transfer money from one internal account to another. Pay a fee.
    Oh, and there's a 36-hour wait to protect you from fraud.
  • Any and every access to any account incurs a fee.
  • Deposits incur a fee.
    If it's a check or credit card, there is a graduated scale of charges depending on whether the card or check is from the same bank or some other bank - and at least a 5 working day delay on any check.
  • Any communication with a bank incurs a fee.
    If you call to complain about poor

The standing joke is you can't walk past your own bank without paying a fee. You may get mugged or trapped if you walk past a bank where you don't have an account.
A young woman tripped over a a-frame sign last week in front of an AAB branch. She was taken to the emergency room, where she was accosted by three bank employees urging her to take out an account. - The sign announced that the bank would pay 8% on 3- and 6-month CDs. The average mortgage rate is 7.74%.
NAB was begging on the street for people to give it money at a rate below what it could charge for a mortgage!

$1.4 trillion bailout announced today

Today, Prime Minister Kevin Rudd announced Australia's answer to the US $700billion bailout. Australia will guarantee $1.4trillion in deposits and bank to bank lending for the next 3 years.

As the 8th (or 10th depending on whose list) largest economy in the world, that may be appropriate.
But when you compare a couple of figures, it does seem a little .. uh .. scary?

Australia's GNP is about $700billion.
65% of that economy comes from consumer spending. The mining and resources sector makes up only 15% or so of that figure.
Then toss in this little factoid: Australia borrows $400billion to $700billion from the US each year.

IOW, Australia borrows almost the whole of the GNP from the US year after year. At the least, Australia borrows equal to nearly all of the consumer spending each year.
That figure hasn't been put into perspective yet. However, deposits in foreign-owned institutions and foreign deposits will not be insured under the $1.4 trillion guarantee.

Nor has anyone mentioned where Australia would get that money if it were ever needed...?

It was only a year ago the AUD was headed towards parity with the USD.

It was only a month ago everyone in Australia seemed terrified of another interest rate rise.

Now, even with an interest rate cut, nearly 35% (over 900,000 of 3.7million) of Australian mortgaged homes are in financial distress. That probably translates into: "The mortgages should be repossessed. The banks just aren't prepared for the paperwork."

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